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Amazon speculators gobbled up Arlington housing market

Renderings of the future home of HQ2 in Virginia, National Landing. (Courteys JBG Smith)

WASHINGTON — After real estate agents reported “packs of investors” at open houses in Virginia’s Arlington and Alexandria in December, the number of houses and condos on the market has been seriously depleted.

Long & Foster said, overall, the number of homes on the market in January in Arlington County was down 38 percent from a year ago, and the median price of what closed in Arlington last month was up 10 percent from a year ago, at $607,500.

“Inventory (in Northern Virginia) has started to slow its contraction in a lot of places, but Arlington County and Alexandria were down 38 percent and 48 percent respectively,” said Larry “Boomer” Foster.

“I believe that is a reflection of properties that were purchased due to the Amazon effect in December,” he said. “A huge influx of purchases that came into the marketplace in both of those places caused December unit sales to be up about 30 percent and now inventory is significantly lower.”

It is not possible to judge a housing market’s dynamics by just one or two months of data, but it is also hard to ignore a 30 percent jump in sales and a 48 percent drop in inventory.

Elsewhere in Northern Virginia, the median price of what sold in Fairfax County in January was $486,000 — up 3 percent from a year ago, with inventory down 15 percent.

Loudoun County’s median selling price last month was $486,250 — up 8 percent, with inventory down 19 percent.

Prince William County had a median selling price of $365,000 — up 6 percent, with inventory down 10 percent.

Inventory remains tight throughout the D.C. area, and prices continue to rise, but mortgage rates are at a one-year low and have been holding steady or falling since last fall.

“I don’t expect that to be the trend moving forward,” Foster said.

“We’ve avoided another government shutdown and investors are becoming more confident around U.S.-China trade talks,” he said. “We’ll see money shift out of Treasuries and into equities, which will cause the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond to go up within the next few weeks, unless something else happens in the world economy.”

Across the river in Maryland, the median selling price in Montgomery County in January was $400,000 — down 2 percent from a year ago. Prince George’s County had a median selling price of $285,000, up 6 percent.

In the District, prices jumped 7 percent from the median selling price a year ago, to $533,000.

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