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2017 MLB award predictor model

Note: This post was published in early August. There will be an update with final totals and predictions in November leading into the awards being presented.

WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 07:  Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals follows his fourth inning solo home run against the Miami Marlins at Nationals Park on August 7, 2017 in Washington, DC.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON — The contenders are separating themselves from the pack, the pennant races are starting to take shape, and the New York Mets are a stunt car on fire, careening off a rock face to the desert hellscape below. That means it must be August, so it’s a good time to check in on the two major awards races in each league to see how things stand with just under two months to play. For those unfamiliar with the system, the model combines player rankings in a number of statistics, both old and new school, that voters tend to value when deciding the Most Valuable Player and Cy Young awards. The model went 4-for-4 in 2015, but wasn’t quite as accurate last year. It picked Justin Verlander, who secured the most first-place votes, but didn’t actually win the award. It also picked Mookie Betts, who lost a close vote to Mike Trout. So, no, it isn’t perfect. But it should give you a pretty good idea of where the races stand. All numbers through the games Sunday, August 6. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
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WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 07:  Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals follows his fourth inning solo home run against the Miami Marlins at Nationals Park on August 7, 2017 in Washington, DC.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
BOSTON, MA - AUGUST 1: Chris Sale #41 of the Boston Red Sox pitches against the Cleveland Indians during the first inning at Fenway Park on August 1, 2017 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
CLEVELAND, OH - AUGUST 06:  Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees hits a three run home run in the seventh inning  off of Mike Clevinger #52 of the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field on August 6, 2017 in Cleveland,  Ohio.   (Photo by David Maxwell/Getty Images)
MIAMI, FL - AUGUST 01:  Max Scherzer #31 of the Washington Nationals pitches during a game against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park on August 1, 2017 in Miami, Florida.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
SAN FRANCISCO, CA - AUGUST 4: Paul Goldschmidt #44 of the Arizona Diamondbacks sonnets for a single during the second inning against the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park on August 4, 2017 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Stephen Lam/Getty Images)

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