Northwestern (3-6, 1-4 Big Ten) at No. 20 Wisconsin (6-3, 4-2, No. 18 CFP), Saturday at noon EST (ESPN2).
Line: Wisconsin by 24 ½, according to FanDuel Sportsbook
Series record: Wisconsin leads 28-15-2.
WHAT’S AT STAKE?
Wisconsin is seeking to win its sixth straight and maintain at least a share of first place in the Big Ten West Division. The Badgers are tied for the division lead with Minnesota, No. 19 Iowa and Purdue. Northwestern is attempting to beat Wisconsin for the third time in four years.
KEY MATCHUP
Wisconsin’s running game vs. Northwestern’s run defense. This looks like a mismatch. Wisconsin ranks second in the Big Ten and 13th nationally in yards rushing per game (222.56). Northwestern ranks 124th out of 130 FBS teams in yards rushing allowed per game. The Wildcats are allowing a whopping 5.4 yards per carry. Northwestern has a decent chance at keeping this game close if it holds Wisconsin’s rushing attack in check.
PLAYERS TO WATCH
Northwestern: QB Andrew Marty. Marty made his second career start and first this season against Iowa after replacing Ryan Hilinski during a blowout loss to Minnesota the previous week. The senior completed 25 of 44 passes for 270 yards and a touchdown, though he was also intercepted three times.
Wisconsin: RB Braelon Allen has rushed for over 100 yards in each of his last five games and has run for a total of 612 yards during that stretch. Before Wisconsin’s five-game winning streak, Allen had totaled just 12 carries in the Badgers’ first four games.
FACTS & FIGURES
Wisconsin is rushing for 270 yards per game during its winning streak. … Wisconsin leads the nation in total defense (213.8) as well as run defense (54.7). … Northwestern ranks just 106th in total offense. … Northwestern has beaten Wisconsin three times since Paul Chryst took over as the Badgers’ coach in 2015. No other Big Ten West Division team has defeated the Badgers that often during Chryst’s tenure. … Although Northwestern has won eight of the last 15 games in this series, Wisconsin has won six of the last seven meetings in Madison. Northwestern’s lone road win during that stretch was a 13-7 decision in 2015. … Northwestern beat Wisconsin 17-7 last year in Evanston. Northwestern was ranked 19th and Wisconsin 10th at the time, making it the Wildcats’ first win over a top-10 team since 2011.
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